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June 14, 2004

US stockpiled shrimp contributes to low prices

The US shrimp industry is in a state of disbelief as first quarter gains have dissolved into a persistent weak market.

Plenty of domestic inventory and weak overseas replacement costs is keeping business to a minimum. Inventories up to four months old are being sold off a fire sale prices by firms just needing to keep up with overhead costs, cover bank loans or even make payments to suppliers overseas.

US shrimp buyers are also laying low as they await a $2.4 billion decision by the US DOC next month to place tariffs on imported shrimp from six countries.

Speculation is just about all the market can do to forecast future market conditions. However, it is largely accepted that once duties are implemented, many in the US shrimp industry will have a tough time making it.

For many of the small to medium sized firms, coming up with the funds to pay for the product will be very difficult. In order to maintain market share, some packers overseas would simply prefer to wire funds to importers here to cover the cost of duties but that is not legal.

Anticipating a 90 day retroactive policy on the duties to kick in once the tariffs are announced, some overseas packers began leasing and/or buying warehouse space in the United States in order to receive product shipped in and allow importers to avoid paying the costly import tax.

By setting up shop in the United States, some worry that these foreign producers could start selling direct to end users, both retailers and restaurant chains.

Meanwhile, US demand for shrimp has not curtailed, Wayland said, pointing to the prevalence of shrimp items on menu at major restaurant chains. Plus, with beef and poulty prices on the upswing, shrimp is becoming a popular alternative.

“What we’re seeing is a significant increase in the penetration in the market with the use of shrimmp, “ he said. “Consumption is pushing right around 100 million pounds a month and with these prices I bet that’s even moving up.

Wayland and othe rimporters say while record shrimp imports during the first three months of 2004 may have overburdened the market in the short term, imports for May and June should swing the other way, thanks to the 90-day retroactive policy, which would, in effect place duties on product shipped as far back as April.

“Probably over the next 30-60 days, we’ll see some very big holes in the inventory because no one is importing right now of any consequence, “ Wayland said.

The Wave


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